Poker Odds Explained – Pot Odds. Poker odds tell you how often an event fails to occur. In other words, how many times you’re going to lose versus how many times you’re going to win. A simple to way to use poker odds to your advantage is to compare them to pot odds and determine whether you’ll be able to play profitably or not.
Poker is a game based on information availability. We don’t ever know for sure how good or bad another player’s hand is, often until it’s too late. But because poker is a game of human interaction, we sometimes receive clues from other players, based on changes in their betting patterns or their physical demeanour, which indicates the strength or weakness of their hand. These are called “poker tells”.
A player gains an advantage if he observes and understands the meaning of another player’s tell, particularly if the poker tell is unconscious and reliable. Sometimes a player may even fake a tell, hoping to induce his opponents to make poor judgments in response to the false poker tell. After all, poker is a game of deception.
The Two Forms of Poker Tells
Poker tells come in two forms;
- Betting patterns
- Physical tells
Betting patterns are the most dependable poker tells. By studying the way a player bets both past and present, you will have more information and be better able to judge whether to check or bet. Betting patterns will remain your main tells.
Physical tells, many of which are dramatized in movies and television, are the most fun and will be the focus of this lesson.
Obviously these are only applicable to live poker, where they can help a player win some crucial pots over a lifetime. Unless you are a savant, learning and analyzing a cluster of tells does take some work.
Spotting Accurate Poker Tells is Hard
What makes tells hard to implement is the way they vary from player to player. For example, a player may throw his chips into the pot with force, and then leave his hands out near the action. For most players this means a big hand, for other players, it is a bluff. Some poker tells are false, many are contradictory, and some are just downright unreliable. There is no magic to it.
As you make observation a habit, you will learn to sift through these multiple tells and notice that the first tell is very often genuine, and the shortest tell is the most reliable. Most long, drawn out tells are false, set up to confuse. We have all seen a Hollywood tell as someone makes a screwed up face of displeasure and then bets! The general rule is that weakness usually means strength, and strength usually means weakness. But, you must decide how much weight to give a tell at any given moment. If you make learning tells fun, it will be an ever-changing, exciting part of your poker arsenal.
A List of Common Poker Tells
There are many types of poker tells. The lists that follow in this lesson should only be used as a general guide. The reliability of each varies, and guessing the reliability of each poker tell is an art form. Many tells mean strong with one player and weak with another, it is up to you to tell the difference by being observant.
Poker tells before the cards are in the air
- Watch how players buy in. Do they buy in for a full rack or a short one?
- If a player buys his chips in a loud, flamboyant, money waving act, he will likely play that way.
- A conservative approach to dressing often means a conservative style of poker.
- Sloppy chips stack, usually means sloppy play.
- Do they handle their chips like they know what they’re doing, or do they fumble around like a rank amateur?
Poker tells that may indicate a strong hand
- Fluid speech.
- Shaking hands.
- Full relaxed lips.
- A full, ear to ear, relaxed smile.
- Eyes open, not blinking.
- Stares at flop, and then glance out of corner of eye at players.
- Blood pressure is up. Red in the face or throbbing vain in neck or head.
- Drawing in a big breath, nose flaring, and rapid breathing usually mean ready for action.
- Glancing at chip stacks (their own or yours) to see how much to bet.
- Impatient, wants to bet.
- Suddenly sits back in chair, relaxed, calling or betting.
- Suddenly sits up in chair, becomes very attentive.
- A player’s hands or fingers going closer toward the action, toward the middle of the table.
- Anything held up in the air, shoulders, head, nose, fingers, thumbs, or eyebrows arching.
- Sliding chips delicately, quietly into the pot.
- Look at flop then glancing intensely at players.
- Cheek muscles start to flex.
- Some players try to act relaxed, looking off at a TV or a waitress, and then betting.
- Pupils of eyes get bigger.
- Protecting hole cards more than normal.
- Acting weak by making a noise, sighing or shrugging as they call or raise. (Why give away information when you do not have to? This one is a classic “weakness means strength”.)
Remember, some of these poker tells are more reliable than others. While most poker experts suggest you watch your opponent’s eyes, I suggest looking at his hands. That trembling hand syndrome is usually the sign of a good hand, and it’s the kind of tell that can’t easily be controlled either, so it’s generally reliable.
Poker tells that may indicate a weak hand
- Incoherent, forced, high pitched, slow, broken, or unnatural speech.
- Holding breath and not moving.
- Putting chips into the pot with great force.
- Staring right at you. (Strength means weakness.)
- Picking up a handful of chips like they will go into the pot if you bet.
- Play acting like they are going to turn their cards over prematurely.
- Checking hole cards after flop.
- Treating their hole cards carelessly.
- Inhales when misses and stares blankly into space.
- Breaths through mouth when worried.
- Licking or sticking out lips.
- Lips tense, and get smaller.
- Upper lip develop stiffens.
- Biting lip.
- Tongue in cheek.
- Covers mouth.
- Eyes squinting.
- Eyes blinking.
- Eyeballs rolling.
- Hand over eyes.
- A fake smile.
- Nail biting.
- Hugging oneself.
- Hands and arms go toward the body, toward safety.
- Rubbing of hands, arms, legs, neck, hair, nose, lips, and chin, to pacify oneself.
- Nervously pressing and wring ones hands till knuckles turn white.
- If they stop riffling chips, shaking leg, grinding teeth, tapping, chewing toothpick or gum.
That’s quite a list. Pick a few and see if you can spot any tells next time you play live poker. Now let’s look at some of the fundamentals to successfully spotting tells and other factors you need to consider.
Beginner Poker Tells
It’s important to recognize that beginners will not go to great lengths to confuse you with reverse tells. Don’t read too much into their bet timing or the body language they are giving off. If you are going to look for tells, just know that the most obvious ones are going to be the most accurate.
Online Poker Tells
Since you can’t physically see your opponents when playing online, the physical tells we’ve mentioned are clearly not going to apply. Remember though, that betting patterns are the most reliable of all poker tells. Look out for changes in a player’s betting pattern and observe their timing. A large amount of time before calling can sometimes mean a weak hand, and a fast call usually means a drawing hand. However, timing tells aren’t always reliable, since for all you know the online player is also reading a book, watching TV, or rushing back from the bathroom.
Practice is the Key
Looking for poker tells does not come naturally for most of us. But, after a while you will observe the flow and motion of the table, sifting through countless confusing bits of information, calculating whether to check or bet, all the while relaxing, having fun, talking, ordering drinks, and doing some cheap chip tricks. Once you learn to read the cards (mathematical odds and technical aspect) what is left? Reading people!
You can’t study everyone and everything at once. So focus attention on individual players during your poker session, and never fail to watch a showdown while replaying what you observed during the hand and correlate it with the hands the combatants turn up. The very best time to study your opponents is when they’re involved in a hand and you’re not.
Practice is the key to reading any tell. Whether you are a trained observer in poker or a trained criminal scene investigator (CSI), the key word is trained. Learning the poker tells listed above all at one time is difficult. It is more fun to learn a couple every time you play. For an example, one night at your casino, home or bar game pick a player and watch his energy levels. While he won’t go from nearly comatose to sitting bolt upright in his seat, most players do shuffle around in their chair and sit upright when they have a good hand – or at least a hand they intend to play. Watch everyone’s posture all night and it will become a habit and you will ‘train’ yourself to be observant at the table.
Another way to train yourself is to observe just one or two players for the first 10 minutes and then gradually add other players to the mix. Start with the player closest to you, because they are the ones that affect your play the most. For instance, can you tell if the players to your left are going to fold or raise? Can you tell if the opponents on your immediate right are calling with a big hand or just want to see a cheap flop? Here’s a tip – players with cards cocked in their hand who look like they’re ready to pitch them to the dealer when it’s their turn to act usually do just that. It’s not a universal poker tell, but it’s accurate more often than not.
Setting Up False Poker Tells
You do not want to give off tells, so watch yourself. Do you lean toward the action when you have a good hand? Try this – when you have a marginal hand (such as JT on the button) sit up in your chair, be obvious, squirm around a little, raise the pot, and look at the other players. Notice who looks at you. You just gave them a false tell. They think you have a big hand. Bet the flop and watch them fold. Note which players are not sophisticated enough to notice your Academy Award performance, and be aware of the players that do not ’seem’ to notice but are thinking, was that for real, and who is this hot dog.
Don’t Overestimate the Importance of Tells
Some poker players spend way too much time searching for unconscious poker tells and greatly overestimate there importance. Every poker player knows that they are supposed to hide their emotions and disguise their true intentions. Even people who don’t play poker know this. Sure, some players will exhibit obvious physical tells from time to time, but the conscious things that poker players do at the table are of far greater significance.
Focus on the bigger picture first and categorize your opponents. Are they tight-aggressive? Are they loose-passive? How tricky are they? Putting players into broad categories that define their playing style and tendencies will help you far more than concentrating on the small and unconscious things.
Conclusion
Physical poker tells are nowhere near as important as studying betting patterns and playing styles. Once you have mastered these then, and only then should you look for the classic poker tells that many players exhibit. But tells are fun, and very few players concentrate on this part of the game – so you will have an advantage. Granted, poker tells will not make you money on every hand or every hour, but over time, they will add to your profitability. In any business, if you could increase profits you’d be very happy.
Related Lessons
By David Sasseman
David lives in Atlanta, Georgia, and has played over a million hands online and many thousands of hands in Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, and Las Vegas casinos.
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Online Poker Is Stupid People Make Dumb Bets Full
I would think you'd make the maximum outside bet something like $25. This wouldn't even come close to a single number payout and you still carry quite an edge on it, thus you're making more money per spin.
EDIT:
My thoughts exactly on the 5%+...
So, let's see if I got this right..... The sign would say:
Outside: $5 minimum per-spot / $25 maximum per-spot
Inside; $5 minimum (any $ combo) $5 maximum per-bet
???
That comes from 12 years of Catholic schools. The nuns told us that math was not important, only religion and English were important! :)
Actually gaming math only works if and only if the game is played repeatedly for a long time (i.e. many many hands). How long is your event? If too short, the computed HE may never show. Think about this: every new casino games, all with reasonable HE derived by 'math experts', must go through 1-3 months of field trial to find out if the game could REALLY 'make enough money'. If the jackpot get hit on the first day, the game is out. Don't have to feel bad about your math. Just use the traditional, popular, proven games and follow the well-known, simple rules, then you have a higher chance of getting good returns. If you're not keep your casino for a long time, any positive HE is good. Your math is fine.Hmmmm? Interesting.
Again, my gut tells me this might add a new layer of complexity to the program for our dealers with $10 outside and $5 inside. As I said, to me, outside bets are just trading dollars irrespective of the amount of the wager. Most of our money made is on the inside.
Not to argue, I'm looking at this from a player's perspective as well. It's very easy to grasp a statement that says 'all bets $5' or, 'all bets $10'. They know exactly what they are getting in to without having them ponder why we allow $10 on outside bets and just $5 on inside. Having to explain things a zillion times per-night takes time--and 'time' is our most precious commodity.
Well if your dealers can't handle it then they can't handle it. Roulette is a complicated game. But wouldn't you have your best dealers on the high limit game anyway? Do you really feel that your BEST dealers couldn't handle '$5 on the inside $10 on the outside'.
Well if your dealers can't handle it then they can't handle it. Roullette is a complicated game. But wouldn't you have your best dealers on the high limit game anyway? Do you really feel that your BEST dealers couldn't handle '$5 on the inside $10 on the outside'.
Our very best dealers are on roulette and craps. In fact, we rent pro dealers to handle some of the craps. Now that we have yet another 14' craps table donated to the school, we'll have to rent/train even more. It's worth it in clover though. These tables are virtual ATM's.
I am not having difficulty with the concept of allowing bigger wagers on the outside. Many of our players are newbies to roulette and we actually have to explain what an outside bet is versus an inside bet (honest).
Then, we have to tell them that there is a $3 minimum bets on the outside--for each spot--up to a maximum of $5 per-spot.
Then, we have to tell them that the minimum on the inside is also $3 however, it can be spread over any combination of bets, so long as $3 is in action.
Then, we have to tell them that no single bet on the inside can be greater than $5.
That's a lot of 'splain'n'.
So, let's see if I got this right..... The sign would say:
Outside: $5 minimum per-spot / $25 maximum per-spot
Inside; $5 minimum (any $ combo) $5 maximum per-bet
???
Yes, something of this nature. Either way as your post after this one described you'll have to explain the game to someone who's a complete newbie. Doesn't matter what your denominations are you have to tell them the same info about inside vs outside; so that should have little bearing on your limits.
I think it's crappy that you're not letting people actually play the inside though. The way you have it set up (5 min 5 max) you don't have to explain spreading your action around because you can't. You have to bet one $5 chip on a number, line, or corner. If it's not too complicated for your dealers I would think you should go $1 min $5 max on the inside so people can take 5 single dollar chips and spread them out on the inside. Anyone who plays roulette normally won't like your game because it's not really roulette on the inside.
Yes, something of this nature. Either way as your post after this one described you'll have to explain the game to someone who's a complete newbie. Doesn't matter what your denominations are you have to tell them the same info about inside vs outside; so that should have little bearing on your limits.
I think it's crappy that you're not letting people actually play the inside though. The way you have it set up (5 min 5 max) you don't have to explain spreading your action around because you can't. You have to bet one $5 chip on a number, line, or corner. If it's not too complicated for your dealers I would think you should go $1 min $5 max on the inside so people can take 5 single dollar chips and spread them out on the inside. Anyone who plays roulette normally won't like your game because it's not really roulette on the inside.
Not sure I fully understand....Currently, on the outside, we have a $3 minimum / $5 maximum--PER SPOT. So if they wanted to bet say 'red', the minimum bet would be $3. If they wanted say red & even, they would have $6 in play.
As for the inside, it's the same thing, specifically: $3 minimum /$5 maximum. However, the wagers on the inside can be $1, just so long as $3 is in action. As for the $5 maximum, no single bet can be greater than $5. However, a player could have 37 $5 bets on the inside and we don't care.
Up until a few years ago, we simply set any/all bets at $1 / $5, either inside or out. You had 20 players all betting $1 chips all over the place and-they were all casino chips, not unique colored roulette chips. It was madness. The, one day I had about 3 hours to kill and went to the MGM Grand. It was there that I learned of the inside/outside betting structure and immediately put it in place at our events. It immediately quadrupled our profits on roulette to the point where we built a second 20' table. http://i62.tinypic.com/289zonc.jpg And, as mentioned, we now have 3 roulette ensembles.
...As for the inside, it's the same thing, specifically: $3 minimum /$5 maximum. However, the wagers on the inside can be $1, just so long as $3 is in action. As for the $5 maximum, no single bet can be greater than $5. However, a player could have 37 $5 bets on the inside and we don't care.
Ahh, I'm not sure where I thought I read that 5 min / 5 max on the inside was single bets. This, of course, is much better and more considered 'normal.' My apologies if I misread something.
Up until a few years ago, we simply set any/all bets at $1 / $5, either inside or out. You had 20 players all betting $1 chips all over the place and-they were all casino chips, not unique colored roulette chips. It was madness. The, one day I had about 3 hours to kill and went to the MGM Grand. It was there that I learned of the inside/outside betting structure and immediately put it in place at our events. It immediately quadrupled our profits on roulette to the point where we built a second 20' table. http://i62.tinypic.com/289zonc.jpg And, as mentioned, we now have 3 roulette ensembles.
Yeah from the beginning of the thread I thought you had it set up 'fairly' well. I was just more confused why you'd allow someone to bet $5 on a single number ($120 max payout for your 24-1 odds), but you would limit any PER SPOT outside bet to $5 max. If you're willing to pay $120 on the inside, the outside bets carry more than a 5% advantage for the house so you should let the outside betters go higher... This is when I suggested perhaps $25 on the outside. This would absolutely make you more money in the long run, or 'by the math.'
Ahh, I'm not sure where I thought I read that 5 min / 5 max on the inside was single bets. This, of course, is much better and more considered 'normal.' My apologies if I misread something.
Yeah from the beginning of the thread I thought you had it set up 'fairly' well. I was just more confused why you'd allow someone to bet $5 on a single number ($120 max payout for your 24-1 odds), but you would limit any PER SPOT outside bet to $5 max. If you're willing to pay $120 on the inside, the outside bets carry more than a 5% advantage for the house so you should let the outside betters go higher... This is when I suggested perhaps $25 on the outside. This would absolutely make you more money in the long run, or 'by the math.'
Actually, I did suggest earlier making everything on the inside a $5 min/max wager. On second thought, I feel this may be too steep for our typical player who are more comfortable making five $1 wagers on roulette versus one $5 wager. Most enter the room purchasing about $50 in chips and hope for the best.
All that said, I think our new 9' table is a good place to test this out without changing anything at the two 20' tables. Specifically, keeping with a 'high roller' theme, the outside would read:
$5 minimum /$25 maximum (per spot)
The inside would read
$5 minimum (any combination) / $5 maximum any single bet.
If there are better words to describe this, please suggest.
However, a player could have 37 $5 bets on the inside and we don't care.
I don't know about don't care, but if I had people wanting to place that bet, I'd take their action. Giddily.
('Hmm... do I get to keep $185 of their dollars, or only $60?')
I don't know about don't care, but if I had people wanting to place that bet, I'd take their action. Giddily.
('Hmm... do I get to keep $185 of their dollars, or only $60?')
Oh, we're happy when people play the inside. Strangely enough, at our games, it's very rare for 2 people to put a chip on the same number straight up. Superstition? Maybe they feel that the spot is 'taken'? Who knows! In any event, when a straight up number hits, typically it's only one $125 payout.
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